How the Stock Market Affects the Real Estate Market
Buy a share of Microsoft and you acquire a tiny sliver of the software giant, tying your fate to that of Chairman Bill Gates, for better or worse. This is ownership in the most literal sense: You get a piece of every desk, contract, and trademark in the place. Better yet, you own a slice of every dollar of profit that comes through the door. The more shares you buy, the bigger your stake becomes.
OK, So How Is a Stock Valued?
The stock market itself is basically a daily referendum on the value of the companies that trade there. Are all those guys screaming at each other? Their job is to take in the day’s news and distill it down to a single question: Will it help the companies I own to make money in the future, or will it prevent them from doing so? If Microsoft loses a court battle to the Justice Department, look for its shares to fall. But if strong economic numbers come out promising better PC sales, traders will buy with a vengeance.
Earnings (a.k.a. profits) are the supreme measure of value as far as the market is concerned. Wall Street is obsessed with them. Companies report their profits four times a year and investors pore over these numbers — expressed as earnings per share — trying to gauge a company’s present health and future potential.
The market rewards both fast earnings growth and stable earnings growth. Stock traders will even pay up for a money-losing company that promises to earn a lot in the future (witness 1998’s explosion in Internet stocks). Things the market will not tolerate are declining earnings or unexplained losses. Companies that surprise Wall Street with bad quarterly reports almost always get punished.
What About Risk?
While history shows that stocks will rise given the fullness of time, there are no guarantees — especially when it comes to individual stocks. Unlike a bond, which promises a payout at the end of a specified period plus interest along the way, the only assured return from a stock is if it appreciates on the open market. (While many companies pay shareholders dividends out of their earnings, they are under no obligation to do so.) The worst-case scenario is that a company goes bankrupt and the value of your investment evaporates altogether. Happily, that’s rare. More often, a company will run into short-term problems that depress the price of its stock for what seems an agonizingly long period of time.
For all the risk, however, there are ways to manage your exposure. The best is to diversify by owning a variety of stocks. That way, no single company can harm you. (Check out our Risk vs. Reward section for more on diversification strategies.) It’s also important to remember that investors are well compensated for rolling the dice with equities. Historically, the long-term return from stocks is about 11% annually, while bonds — which are less risky — return just 5.2%. Over time, that spread can make a huge difference in the earning power of your savings (see The Power of Compounding).
One final note
Along with ownership, a share of stock gives you the right to vote on management issues. Company executives work at the behest of shareholders, who are represented by an elected board of directors. By law, the goal of management is to increase the value of the corporation’s equity. To the extent this doesn’t happen, shareholders can vote to have management removed.
Consequently, it behooves you to carefully research management’s competence before you buy a stock. And the best measure of that may be the company’s ability to consistently deliver earnings over time.